Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 16:15
12.3440.0%
X3.2329.0%
23.0131.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LLDLLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Brest
LLWLLDDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
2.10
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Against
6.60
7.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
2.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Brest conceded1.80
Matchup

Brest attack

0.80goals per match
Nantes conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.60
7.70
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
27.60
Match total
25.60

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.60
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,394
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%40.7%+0.8 pp
Draw29.0%31.6%+2.7 pp
Away31.1%27.6%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.301.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.1%
0-09.4%
2-19.0%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.51
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,394.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches495
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.3%27.4%–35.5% CI
Draw FT42.8%38.5%–47.2% CI
Away FT25.9%22.2%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away47.1%