Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 16:15
13.3527.9%
X3.4227.3%
22.0844.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WWLLLDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Paris FC
WLDLWDDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.90
Against
7.10
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.20goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.00
Matchup

Paris FC attack

0.90goals per match
Metz conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.10
9.00
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.10
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.00
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%24.7%-3.2 pp
Draw27.3%28.5%+1.2 pp
Away44.9%46.8%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.141.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-210.9%
0-19.6%
0-28.5%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.685.20
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=470.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%16.4%–30.6% CI
Draw FT37.1%29.4%–45.6% CI
Away FT40.2%32.2%–48.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals53.0%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away66.7%