Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 20:05
11.5062.4%
X4.1522.6%
26.2315.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWWWLLDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nice
LLLLLWLLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.90goals per match
Nice conceded2.00
Matchup

Nice attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.60
Match total
23.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches392
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.4%63.0%+0.6 pp
Draw22.6%20.2%-2.4 pp
Away15.0%16.8%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

2.020.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.8%
1-09.9%
2-19.7%
1-19.4%
3-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.66
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=392.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.6%37.6%–59.8% CI
Draw FT35.1%25.2%–46.5% CI
Away FT16.2%9.5%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away41.9%