Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 16:00
14.2622.0%
X3.8524.3%
21.7453.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
DDWWDWWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Marseille
LWWLWDLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.90
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.60goals per match
Marseille conceded1.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
20.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.90
On target
5.20
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.0%18.1%-3.9 pp
Draw24.3%24.2%-0.1 pp
Away53.8%57.7%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.071.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.3%
1-110.6%
0-28.4%
0-18.1%
1-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.45
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.5%12.2%–29.7% CI
Draw FT32.5%23.1%–43.5% CI
Away FT48.1%37.3%–59.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.7%
Away61.0%