Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 19:45
11.4863.5%
X4.4021.3%
26.1815.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWWLWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Toulouse
LDDWWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.60
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.30goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.40
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.60
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
26.00
Match total
24.40

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.70
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.5%65.2%+1.7 pp
Draw21.3%19.5%-1.8 pp
Away15.2%15.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

2.080.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.2%
1-111.8%
1-011.5%
2-18.7%
3-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.58
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%42.9%–64.5% CI
Draw FT32.1%22.7%–43.0% CI
Away FT14.1%8.1%–23.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.5%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.6%
Away44.9%