Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 19:45
11.6756.0%
X3.7425.0%
24.9219.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
LWLWWWWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lorient
LLDDWWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded1.40
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Lyon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
26.40
Match total
21.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.80
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches824
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%57.9%+1.9 pp
Draw25.0%25.0%-0.0 pp
Away19.0%17.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.750.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
2-112.5%
1-111.4%
2-010.2%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.88
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=824.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.5%40.4%–52.6% CI
Draw FT37.0%31.3%–43.1% CI
Away FT16.5%12.5%–21.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away38.2%