Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 16:15
13.0630.5%
X3.1829.4%
22.3340.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DDLWLWDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lille
LLWWLLDWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
3.80
9.80
Total
8.80
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded1.30
Matchup

Lille attack

1.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.80
9.80
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.50
Match total
23.80

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches785
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%31.1%+0.6 pp
Draw29.4%26.1%-3.3 pp
Away40.1%42.8%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.081.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-011.3%
0-111.0%
1-29.0%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.574.93
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=785.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.536.3%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.8%25.5%–36.8% CI
Draw FT35.2%29.6%–41.2% CI
Away FT34.0%28.4%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.8%
Away51.0%