Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 16:15
11.9049.2%
X3.2828.5%
24.2022.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WWLLDDDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Le Havre
LWDLLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
2.20
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.70
Against
6.50
11.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.20goals per match
Le Havre conceded1.90
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.60goals per match
Nice conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.50
11.30
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
21.50
Match total
28.50

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches507
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%50.7%+1.5 pp
Draw28.5%27.6%-0.9 pp
Away22.3%21.7%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.540.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-113.6%
2-09.9%
2-19.3%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.28
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=507.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.8%32.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT36.0%29.0%–43.7% CI
Away FT24.2%18.3%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away41.6%