Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 18:00
11.9947.0%
X3.2528.8%
23.8624.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
LLDWLLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Nantes
DWDLLWLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.70
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.90goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.70
11.00
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
25.90
Match total
26.70

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches839
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%46.6%-0.4 pp
Draw28.8%29.7%+0.9 pp
Away24.2%23.7%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.410.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
1-113.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.5%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.483.96
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=839.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.8%32.4%–43.6% CI
Draw FT40.6%35.1%–46.4% CI
Away FT21.5%17.2%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away39.6%