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Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 20:05

Marseille

vs

Metz

11.2277.0%
X6.3914.7%
211.408.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWDWLWDWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Metz
LWLLDLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.80goals per match
Metz conceded2.20
Matchup

Metz attack

0.80goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.80
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.40
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.0%73.6%-3.4 pp
Draw14.7%18.2%+3.5 pp
Away8.2%8.2%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.7%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

2.36–0.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-112.7%
2-010.9%
1-110.0%
2-19.1%
3-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.24–2.87
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.3%
Away43.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMetzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMarseille vs MetzCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.