Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 19:45
12.1443.7%
X3.6225.8%
23.0630.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WLLWLLWWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Marseille
WLWWLWDLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
8.20
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.60goals per match
Marseille conceded1.50
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
8.20
Match total
8.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.60
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%41.0%-2.6 pp
Draw25.8%22.6%-3.2 pp
Away30.5%36.4%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS62.6%

Historical average

1.561.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.3%
1-210.3%
0-09.2%
1-17.2%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.91
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.548.2%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away32.1%