Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 16:15
12.8732.5%
X3.2229.0%
22.4338.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LWWLLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Nantes
DDWDLLWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
2.10
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Against
6.20
8.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.20goals per match
Nantes conceded1.70
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Metz conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.20
8.90
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.80
Match total
5.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.20
Match total
27.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.60
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches645
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%31.3%-1.2 pp
Draw29.0%27.4%-1.6 pp
Away38.4%41.2%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.151.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-112.4%
1-29.8%
0-09.3%
1-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.79
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=645.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches221
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.3%24.6%–36.7% CI
Draw FT39.4%33.2%–45.9% CI
Away FT30.3%24.6%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away50.7%