Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 16:15
12.2242.1%
X3.2428.8%
23.2129.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
DDDWWDWWDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Paris FC
LWLDLWDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Against
7.70
8.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.80goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.10
Matchup

Paris FC attack

0.90goals per match
Lorient conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.70
8.20
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.20
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,544
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%42.6%+0.5 pp
Draw28.8%32.1%+3.2 pp
Away29.1%25.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.391.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-011.6%
2-110.2%
0-08.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.44
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,543.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches503
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.2%31.1%–39.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%37.5%–46.1% CI
Away FT23.1%19.6%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.3%
Away43.7%