Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 16:15
12.2242.1%
X3.2428.8%
23.2129.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
DDDWWDWWDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Paris FC
LWLDLWDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Against
7.70
8.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.80goals per matchParis FC conceded1.10Matchup
Paris FC attack
0.90goals per matchLorient conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.70
8.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.20
Match total
21.00
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,544
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%42.6%+0.5 pp
Draw28.8%32.1%+3.2 pp
Away29.1%25.3%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
1.39–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
1-011.6%
2-110.2%
0-08.7%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.44
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,543.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches503
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.2%31.1%–39.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%37.5%–46.1% CI
Away FT23.1%19.6%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.3%
Away43.7%