Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 19:45
11.2475.9%
X6.1715.3%
210.658.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WDWWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Toulouse
WLDDWWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.60
Against
4.90
8.70
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.80goals per matchToulouse conceded1.20Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.50goals per matchParis SG conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.90
8.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
20.50
Match total
25.70
Shots
20.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
7.80
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.9%77.5%+1.6 pp
Draw15.3%13.6%-1.6 pp
Away8.8%8.9%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.542.0%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
2.47–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.4%
2-010.7%
3-09.5%
3-19.5%
4-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.24–2.95
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI
Draw FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals24.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away39.4%