Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 19:45
11.2475.9%
X6.1715.3%
210.658.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WDWWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Toulouse
WLDDWWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.60
Against
4.90
8.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.80goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.20
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.50goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.90
8.70
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.80
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
20.50
Match total
25.70

Shots

20.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
7.80
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.9%77.5%+1.6 pp
Draw15.3%13.6%-1.6 pp
Away8.8%8.9%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.542.0%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.470.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
2-010.7%
3-09.5%
3-19.5%
4-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.242.95
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI
Draw FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away39.4%