Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 16:15
11.3469.8%
X5.0518.5%
28.0311.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rennes
DLWWWDLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Metz
LLWLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
10.60
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.60
3.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rennes attack
2.00goals per matchMetz conceded2.60Matchup
Metz attack
0.80goals per matchRennes conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
10.60
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.00
Match total
22.80
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
5.60
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%74.0%+4.2 pp
Draw18.5%17.4%-1.1 pp
Away11.7%8.5%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.538.4%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
2.36–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.0%
2-111.6%
3-09.7%
2-09.3%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.29–3.37
Average total10.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.538.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.5%39.8%–62.9% CI
Draw FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.8%4.1%–17.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.7%
Away26.5%