Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 16:15
11.3469.8%
X5.0518.5%
28.0311.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rennes
DLWWWDLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Metz
LLWLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
10.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.60
3.30
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rennes attack

2.00goals per match
Metz conceded2.60
Matchup

Metz attack

0.80goals per match
Rennes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
10.60
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
5.60
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%74.0%+4.2 pp
Draw18.5%17.4%-1.1 pp
Away11.7%8.5%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.538.4%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

2.360.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.0%
2-111.6%
3-09.7%
2-09.3%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.293.37
Average total10.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.5%39.8%–62.9% CI
Draw FT39.7%28.9%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.8%4.1%–17.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away26.5%