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Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 16:15

Marseille

vs

Lille

11.9149.0%
X3.6425.7%
23.6925.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WDWDWLWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lille
WLLWWLLDWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
2.50
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.90
Against
3.70
8.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.30goals per match
Lille conceded1.20
Matchup

Lille attack

1.00goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.70
8.00
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.40
Match total
25.10

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
6.20
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches726
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.0%48.1%-0.9 pp
Draw25.7%26.2%+0.5 pp
Away25.3%25.8%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.66–1.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-19.6%
1-09.2%
2-07.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.84–4.30
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=726.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.2%33.6%–47.1% CI
Draw FT36.2%29.8%–43.1% CI
Away FT23.6%18.3%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away47.2%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamLilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMarseille vs LilleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.