Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 14:00
12.7034.6%
X3.4926.8%
22.4238.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WLWLWWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Monaco
LDWLLLDDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.60goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.40goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%32.6%-2.1 pp
Draw26.8%30.5%+3.7 pp
Away38.6%37.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

1.391.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-28.3%
2-17.8%
2-07.0%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.315.05
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%21.4%–38.9% CI
Draw FT45.1%35.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT25.5%18.0%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals54.9%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away52.9%