Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 14:00
12.7034.6%
X3.4926.8%
22.4238.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
WLWLWWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Monaco
LDWLLLDDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
1.60goals per matchMonaco conceded1.60Matchup
Monaco attack
1.40goals per matchLyon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.00
Match total
24.30
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%32.6%-2.1 pp
Draw26.8%30.5%+3.7 pp
Away38.6%37.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
1.39–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-28.3%
2-17.8%
2-07.0%
0-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–5.05
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=387.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%21.4%–38.9% CI
Draw FT45.1%35.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT25.5%18.0%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals54.9%
3+ goals22.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away52.9%