Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:05
17.5512.4%
X5.3717.4%
21.3370.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
DWWLLDDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Paris SG
DWDWLWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
6.70
Against
3.30
11.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.30goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

1.60goals per match
Nice conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
6.70
Corners against
3.30
11.60
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.00
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.60
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
4.50
On target
6.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.4%9.0%-3.4 pp
Draw17.4%23.1%+5.7 pp
Away70.2%67.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

0.972.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
0-211.5%
1-210.3%
1-39.0%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.696.69
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away75.0%