Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 16:00
11.9547.9%
X3.1529.7%
24.1622.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Toulouse
WDDLWLWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lorient
LLLDDWWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
9.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.30goals per matchLorient conceded1.50Matchup
Lorient attack
1.00goals per matchToulouse conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.30
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
27.10
Match total
22.70
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%45.0%-2.9 pp
Draw29.7%32.7%+3.1 pp
Away22.5%22.3%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
1.40–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
1-014.2%
0-09.8%
2-19.5%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–4.06
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.2%–40.1% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.0%–52.7% CI
Away FT20.9%15.8%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals9.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away39.3%