Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 16:00
11.9547.9%
X3.1529.7%
24.1622.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WDDLWLWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lorient
LLLDDWWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
9.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.50
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Toulouse conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.30
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
27.10
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches620
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%45.0%-2.9 pp
Draw29.7%32.7%+3.1 pp
Away22.5%22.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.400.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-014.2%
0-09.8%
2-19.5%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.06
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.2%–40.1% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.0%–52.7% CI
Away FT20.9%15.8%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals9.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away39.3%