Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 19:45
11.2277.2%
X6.2915.0%
212.027.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Angers
LDLWWLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
9.00
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.00goals per match
Angers conceded1.40
Matchup

Angers attack

0.60goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
9.00
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.70
Match total
22.20

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.10
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches172
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.2%82.0%+4.8 pp
Draw15.0%13.4%-1.6 pp
Away7.8%4.7%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

2.530.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
2-014.0%
3-110.5%
3-010.5%
4-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.013.07
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=172.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.9%47.6%–77.5% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT8.3%2.9%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.6%
Away36.1%