Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 16:15
13.8424.3%
X3.3028.3%
21.9747.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
DLWWLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Toulouse
LWLDDWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Metz attack

0.90goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.00
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
9.10
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.90
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.10
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%27.5%+3.2 pp
Draw28.3%26.8%-1.5 pp
Away47.4%45.7%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

0.971.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
0-011.8%
1-011.2%
1-110.5%
0-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.385.45
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.5%–27.8% CI
Draw FT45.3%36.6%–54.3% CI
Away FT35.0%27.0%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away49.6%