Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 16:15
13.8424.3%
X3.3028.3%
21.9747.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Metz
DLWWLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Toulouse
LWLDDWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Metz attack
0.90goals per matchToulouse conceded1.00Matchup
Toulouse attack
1.10goals per matchMetz conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
9.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
23.10
Match total
26.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%27.5%+3.2 pp
Draw28.3%26.8%-1.5 pp
Away47.4%45.7%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
0.97–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.5%
0-011.8%
1-011.2%
1-110.5%
0-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.38–5.45
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.5%–27.8% CI
Draw FT45.3%36.6%–54.3% CI
Away FT35.0%27.0%–44.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals9.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away49.6%