Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 16:15
13.6725.4%
X3.3727.7%
21.9946.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
DWDLDWDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lyon
LDDDLWWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
3.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

1.00goals per match
Lyon conceded1.60
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Le Havre conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.60
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%23.6%-1.8 pp
Draw27.7%26.7%-1.0 pp
Away46.9%49.7%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

0.971.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-112.1%
1-09.3%
0-29.0%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.43
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=356.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.8%10.9%–25.0% CI
Draw FT42.1%33.1%–51.5% CI
Away FT41.1%32.3%–50.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away58.9%