Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 20:05
11.6456.9%
X4.0323.1%
24.6720.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
DWLLWLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Brest
WDLLWLLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Against
7.30
8.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.60goals per match
Brest conceded1.60
Matchup

Brest attack

1.30goals per match
Monaco conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.30
8.40
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.80
Match total
27.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%61.2%+4.3 pp
Draw23.1%22.9%-0.2 pp
Away20.0%15.9%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

2.091.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.1%
2-010.6%
1-19.7%
1-08.2%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.874.14
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%40.9%–65.4% CI
Draw FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI
Away FT15.0%8.1%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.7%
Away35.0%