Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 18:00
12.9831.3%
X3.1629.6%
22.3939.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Angers
LDWWLWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Nice
DWLLLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Angers attack
1.40goals per matchNice conceded2.00Matchup
Nice attack
1.10goals per matchAngers conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.10
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.70
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches657
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%30.3%-1.1 pp
Draw29.6%25.0%-4.6 pp
Away39.1%44.7%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.10–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
0-111.9%
1-210.5%
1-09.7%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–5.15
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=657.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.8%–37.2% CI
Draw FT33.5%27.5%–40.1% CI
Away FT35.8%29.7%–42.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.1%
Away51.9%