Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 16:00
14.0423.2%
X3.6026.0%
21.8450.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WDDDWWDWWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Lens
DWLWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.90
Against
2.90
7.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.90goals per match
Lens conceded1.00
Matchup

Lens attack

2.00goals per match
Lorient conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
2.90
7.70
Match total
8.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.60
Match total
26.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.80
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches333
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%22.8%-0.3 pp
Draw26.0%25.2%-0.8 pp
Away50.9%52.0%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.051.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-210.8%
0-110.5%
0-28.7%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.37
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=333.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.3%11.7%–27.3% CI
Draw FT37.6%28.5%–47.8% CI
Away FT44.1%34.4%–54.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals50.5%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away65.6%