Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-13 · 19:45
11.4166.5%
X4.7619.7%
26.7913.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WWDWDWLWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Auxerre
LDLLDLLDWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.00
Against
4.20
7.70
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

2.30goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.60
Matchup

Auxerre attack

0.80goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.20
7.70
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.80
Match total
27.60

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches335
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%69.0%+2.5 pp
Draw19.7%21.8%+2.1 pp
Away13.8%9.3%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

2.280.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.2%
2-09.9%
1-09.6%
0-08.1%
3-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.573.41
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=334.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%43.7%–63.7% CI
Draw FT40.7%31.1%–50.9% CI
Away FT5.5%2.4%–12.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals50.5%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.0%
Away27.5%