Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 19:45
11.6457.0%
X3.8624.2%
24.9718.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWLWLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Paris FC
WDLWLDLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.60goals per match
Paris FC conceded1.20
Matchup

Paris FC attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
9.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
27.10
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.00
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%59.4%+2.4 pp
Draw24.2%23.4%-0.8 pp
Away18.8%17.2%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.830.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
1-011.3%
1-110.1%
2-09.7%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.86
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.4%42.0%–56.9% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.3%–40.3% CI
Away FT17.6%12.7%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away40.6%