Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 16:15
12.7434.1%
X3.5626.3%
22.3639.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
WDWWLLDDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Rennes
DDDWWLWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
7.00
Against
5.10
11.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.40goals per match
Rennes conceded1.80
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.40goals per match
Nice conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.10
11.90
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches177
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%29.9%-4.2 pp
Draw26.3%32.2%+5.9 pp
Away39.6%37.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.301.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-110.2%
2-110.2%
2-29.6%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.76
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=177.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.0%9.2%–29.2% CI
Draw FT47.2%34.4%–60.3% CI
Away FT35.8%24.3%–49.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals45.3%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.4%
Away62.3%