Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 16:15
11.5560.3%
X4.0023.4%
25.7416.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
LDWWWWLLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lorient
DLLLDDWWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded1.50
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%61.1%+0.8 pp
Draw23.4%22.8%-0.6 pp
Away16.3%16.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.970.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.4%
1-111.4%
1-010.2%
2-19.2%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.53
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=491.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.2%35.9%–52.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%25.8%–41.8% CI
Away FT22.5%16.1%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.0%
Away47.3%