Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 16:15
11.5560.3%
X4.0023.4%
25.7416.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
LDWWWWLLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lorient
DLLLDDWWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.60goals per matchLorient conceded1.50Matchup
Lorient attack
1.00goals per matchLille conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.40
Match total
23.50
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%61.1%+0.8 pp
Draw23.4%22.8%-0.6 pp
Away16.3%16.1%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.97–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.4%
1-111.4%
1-010.2%
2-19.2%
0-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.20–3.53
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=491.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.2%35.9%–52.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%25.8%–41.8% CI
Away FT22.5%16.1%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.0%
Away47.3%