Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 14:00
11.2674.3%
X5.7416.3%
29.969.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Metz
LLLWLLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.70
Against
5.10
9.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.80
2.60
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

2.00goals per match
Metz conceded2.80
Matchup

Metz attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.10
9.40
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
26.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%75.0%+0.7 pp
Draw16.3%14.7%-1.6 pp
Away9.4%10.3%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

2.400.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.8%
2-111.0%
3-110.3%
3-08.8%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.533.00
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals65.2%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.6%
Away39.1%