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Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:05

Toulouse

vs

Marseille

12.9331.9%
X3.4627.0%
22.2841.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
DWDDLWLWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Marseille
WWLWWLWDLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
9.80
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.50goals per match
Marseille conceded1.60
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.90goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
9.80
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
27.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.50
On target
5.80
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches579
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%30.1%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%27.6%+0.6 pp
Away41.0%42.3%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.22–1.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-29.2%
0-18.5%
0-28.3%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.73–5.32
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=578.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.1%19.2%–32.1% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.2%–46.7% CI
Away FT35.7%28.9%–43.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away53.2%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamToulouseForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareToulouse vs MarseilleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.