Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 16:00
12.1743.0%
X3.1529.7%
23.4227.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nantes
DLLLDLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Angers
LLDLWWLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
2.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
8.30
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
2.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nantes attack
1.10goals per matchAngers conceded1.50Matchup
Angers attack
0.50goals per matchNantes conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
8.30
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.70
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
27.00
Match total
21.50
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.10
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.1%-1.0 pp
Draw29.7%33.4%+3.8 pp
Away27.3%24.5%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.32–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
1-011.8%
0-010.7%
2-09.4%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.14
Average total9.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,121.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.532.7%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches416
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.1%29.7%–38.8% CI
Draw FT45.9%41.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT20.0%16.4%–24.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.8%
Away43.3%