Ligue 1 · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 19:45
11.3470.1%
X5.5516.9%
27.2712.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Monaco
WLDWLLLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.30
0.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.60
Against
4.70
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.90goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.30goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.70
8.40
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.70
Match total
4.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
20.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
7.80
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.1%84.8%+14.7 pp
Draw16.9%9.1%-7.8 pp
Away12.9%6.1%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.578.8%
Over 3.548.5%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.820.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.2%
3-112.1%
4-09.1%
3-26.1%
1-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.33
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.2%49.1%–87.5% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away16.7%