Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
12.0346.8%
X4.0623.4%
23.1829.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
LWDLDLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Toulouse
LWDDWWLLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
2.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.50
2.20
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.20
Against
4.10
10.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
2.50
Goals conceded
1.10
4.00
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.50goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.40goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.10
10.80
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%43.8%-3.0 pp
Draw23.4%21.9%-1.5 pp
Away29.9%34.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.061.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-215.6%
0-112.5%
1-29.4%
1-39.4%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.665.00
Average total10.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.565.6%
Over 10.553.1%
Over 11.543.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.0%
Away50.0%