Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
11.1979.8%
X7.6412.4%
212.277.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
DWWDWWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Auxerre
LLLLDWDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.30
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.20goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.70
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.40goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
18.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

20.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
8.50
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.8%74.1%-5.8 pp
Draw12.4%18.5%+6.1 pp
Away7.7%7.4%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

2.670.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.8%
5-111.1%
1-111.1%
4-17.4%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.223.48
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away38.5%