Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
11.5262.2%
X4.3621.7%
25.8516.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WDDLWLWDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Montpellier
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.70
Against
6.30
11.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.80
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.30goals per match
Nantes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.30
11.00
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.80
Match total
25.00

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches363
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.2%64.7%+2.6 pp
Draw21.7%19.8%-1.8 pp
Away16.2%15.4%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

2.100.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
2-010.7%
1-110.5%
2-18.5%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.62
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=363.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.5%43.0%–63.7% CI
Draw FT30.2%21.5%–40.6% CI
Away FT16.3%10.0%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.9%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.8%
Away40.7%