Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
11.7853.2%
X4.0423.4%
24.0523.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
DWDWWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rennes
LLLWWLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.70
2.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.40
Against
4.80
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
2.90goals per matchRennes conceded1.50Matchup
Rennes attack
2.00goals per matchMarseille conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.80
8.60
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.80
Match total
25.30
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.00
On target
5.80
18%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.2%55.0%+1.8 pp
Draw23.4%21.3%-2.2 pp
Away23.4%23.8%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS65.0%
Historical average
1.94–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.3%
1-110.0%
2-08.8%
1-28.8%
1-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–4.21
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals30.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.6%
Away56.5%