Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
11.2774.4%
X6.0815.5%
29.4410.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWDWLWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Angers
WLWLWDLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
3.50
8.60
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.40goals per match
Angers conceded1.20
Matchup

Angers attack

1.00goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.50
8.60
Match total
6.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.60
On target
2.30
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.4%84.4%+9.9 pp
Draw15.5%9.4%-6.2 pp
Away10.0%6.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.546.9%
BTTS40.6%

Historical average

2.780.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.6%
1-012.5%
5-012.5%
2-09.4%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.343.19
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%