Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 20:00
13.9324.1%
X3.9524.0%
21.8351.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WLLWLLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
DDLLLDWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
7.20N=10
2.40
Against
2.40
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lens attack

0.90goals per match
Monaco conceded1.50
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.30goals per match
Lens conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
2.40
9.10
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.40
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.60
Match total
27.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.90
On target
5.10
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.1%14.1%-10.1 pp
Draw24.0%29.7%+5.7 pp
Away51.8%56.3%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS65.6%

Historical average

1.132.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
2-210.9%
2-39.4%
0-27.8%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.81
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away50.0%