Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
12.2641.9%
X3.5027.1%
23.0631.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Toulouse
WWLLDLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lens
WDWWLLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.80
Against
5.00
8.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Toulouse attack

1.30goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
Toulouse conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.00
8.00
Match total
9.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
27.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches731
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%40.9%-1.0 pp
Draw27.1%28.9%+1.8 pp
Away31.0%30.2%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.471.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-110.7%
1-08.8%
1-28.6%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.46
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=730.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches198
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%30.0%–43.3% CI
Draw FT38.4%31.9%–45.3% CI
Away FT25.3%19.7%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away48.0%