Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
19.859.6%
X6.9413.6%
21.2376.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
DDLWLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Paris SG
DWWWWWWWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.70
2.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
3.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.20
Against
4.00
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.80goals per match
Paris SG conceded1.20
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.70goals per match
Montpellier conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
2.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.00
10.60
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.90
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
24.80
Match total
19.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
17.10N=10
4.20
On target
7.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.6%33.3%+23.7 pp
Draw13.6%13.3%-0.3 pp
Away76.8%53.3%-23.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.586.7%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS73.3%

Historical average

1.732.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-313.3%
0-213.3%
1-313.3%
3-16.7%
1-66.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.337.60
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.553.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away66.7%