Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
19.859.6%
X6.9413.6%
21.2376.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
DDLWLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Paris SG
DWWWWWWWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.70
2.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
3.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.20
Against
4.00
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.70
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
0.80goals per matchParis SG conceded1.20Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.70goals per matchMontpellier conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
2.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.00
10.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.90
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
24.80
Match total
19.20
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
17.10N=10
4.20
On target
7.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.6%33.3%+23.7 pp
Draw13.6%13.3%-0.3 pp
Away76.8%53.3%-23.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.586.7%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS73.3%
Historical average
1.73–2.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-313.3%
0-213.3%
1-313.3%
3-16.7%
1-66.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.33–7.60
Average total10.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.553.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.93
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away66.7%