Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
11.8252.1%
X4.2222.5%
23.7225.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWLWWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lyon
WLLDLWWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.60
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
8.30
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.90goals per match
Lyon conceded1.70
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.00
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
8.30
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.60
Match total
23.00

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.00
On target
5.50
18%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%53.8%+1.8 pp
Draw22.5%23.1%+0.6 pp
Away25.5%23.1%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.561.5%
BTTS76.9%

Historical average

2.541.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
3-115.4%
1-215.4%
2-37.7%
3-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.385.23
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away55.6%