Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
11.8252.1%
X4.2222.5%
23.7225.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
WWLWWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lyon
WLLDLWWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.60
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
8.30
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
2.90goals per matchLyon conceded1.70Matchup
Lyon attack
2.00goals per matchMonaco conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.00
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
8.30
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.60
Match total
23.00
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.00
On target
5.50
18%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%53.8%+1.8 pp
Draw22.5%23.1%+0.6 pp
Away25.5%23.1%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.561.5%
BTTS76.9%
Historical average
2.54–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
3-115.4%
1-215.4%
2-37.7%
3-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–5.23
Average total10.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals29.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away55.6%