Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
15.9216.0%
X4.5520.8%
21.5063.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Le Havre
LLLLLLDWLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWLWLLLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.20
2.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.40
Against
2.80
8.40
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
2.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Le Havre attack
0.90goals per matchMarseille conceded1.70Matchup
Marseille attack
1.20goals per matchLe Havre conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
2.80
8.40
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.40
Match total
20.60
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.10
On target
5.90
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%13.4%-2.6 pp
Draw20.8%9.8%-11.1 pp
Away63.2%76.8%+13.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS43.9%
Historical average
0.77–2.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.1%
1-211.0%
0-29.8%
1-38.5%
0-36.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.66–6.28
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Away FT68.2%47.3%–83.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away68.2%