Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
15.9216.0%
X4.5520.8%
21.5063.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Le Havre
LLLLLLDWLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWLWLLLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
2.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.40
Against
2.80
8.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
2.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Le Havre attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.20goals per match
Le Havre conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
2.80
8.40
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.40
Match total
20.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.10
On target
5.90
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.0%13.4%-2.6 pp
Draw20.8%9.8%-11.1 pp
Away63.2%76.8%+13.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.772.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
1-211.0%
0-29.8%
1-38.5%
0-36.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.666.28
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Away FT68.2%47.3%–83.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away68.2%