Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
14.4221.4%
X3.8324.7%
21.7653.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WWWLDWDWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lille
DDDLWLLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.70
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.90goals per match
Lille conceded1.30
Matchup

Lille attack

1.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.60
Match total
23.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.4%20.5%-0.9 pp
Draw24.7%22.2%-2.5 pp
Away53.8%57.3%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.061.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.5%
0-18.7%
0-08.3%
0-28.0%
1-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.385.61
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%15.6%–33.8% CI
Draw FT35.8%26.2%–46.7% CI
Away FT40.7%30.7%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.0%
Away55.6%