Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
12.8433.4%
X3.4727.3%
22.4139.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
DDDDDWLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nantes
DLDDWLLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.80
Against
6.30
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.10goals per matchNantes conceded2.30Matchup
Nantes attack
1.20goals per matchAuxerre conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.30
10.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
23.40
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%32.9%-0.5 pp
Draw27.3%26.4%-0.9 pp
Away39.3%40.7%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS56.2%
Historical average
1.30–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-210.7%
0-110.4%
1-09.0%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–5.32
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=356.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.536.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%16.0%–31.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%26.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT42.2%33.4%–51.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.1%
Away56.0%