Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:00
12.8433.4%
X3.4727.3%
22.4139.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Auxerre
DDDDDWLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nantes
DLDDWLLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.80
Against
6.30
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Auxerre attack

1.10goals per match
Nantes conceded2.30
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.20goals per match
Auxerre conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.30
10.60
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%32.9%-0.5 pp
Draw27.3%26.4%-0.9 pp
Away39.3%40.7%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

1.301.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-210.7%
0-110.4%
1-09.0%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.32
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=356.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%16.0%–31.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%26.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT42.2%33.4%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away56.0%