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Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 19:45

Lille

vs

Marseille

12.3240.9%
X3.3728.1%
23.0631.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWDWWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Marseille
WWWWLWLLLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
8.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.70
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.30goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
8.60
Match total
9.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.40
Match total
21.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
6.10
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches858
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%41.6%+0.7 pp
Draw28.1%26.9%-1.2 pp
Away31.0%31.5%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

1.47–1.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-19.4%
1-08.7%
1-28.7%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.48–4.60
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=857.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.0%29.2%–41.2% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.8%–45.0% CI
Away FT26.3%21.1%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away47.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamLilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMarseilleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareLille vs MarseilleCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLigue 1League results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLigue 1 team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.