Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:15
11.5461.5%
X4.5221.0%
25.4217.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWWDWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Lens
LWDWWLLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
8.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.40goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.30goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
8.90
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
23.20
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.90
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches138
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%58.7%-2.8 pp
Draw21.0%19.6%-1.4 pp
Away17.5%21.7%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.542.8%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

2.131.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-09.4%
1-18.7%
2-18.7%
3-07.2%
3-25.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.344.20
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=138.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.1%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Away FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away41.2%