Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:15
11.3669.6%
X5.1518.4%
27.8712.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
LWWWLDWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Montpellier
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.30
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
6.40
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.80
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.30goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.40
9.60
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.20
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%71.3%+1.7 pp
Draw18.4%19.3%+0.9 pp
Away12.0%9.4%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

2.360.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.4%
2-110.4%
3-09.9%
2-09.9%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.273.47
Average total10.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.9%38.1%–63.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI
Away FT9.1%3.9%–19.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.5%
Away27.3%