Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:15
12.1144.9%
X3.5626.6%
23.3328.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Auxerre
WDDDDDWLWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Le Havre
WLLDDWWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.10
Against
6.10
10.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Auxerre attack
1.10goals per matchLe Havre conceded1.90Matchup
Le Havre attack
1.70goals per matchAuxerre conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.10
10.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.80
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches576
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%45.0%+0.0 pp
Draw26.6%29.9%+3.2 pp
Away28.5%25.2%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
1.56–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.4%
2-08.2%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.46–4.50
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=576.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%29.4%–43.9% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.6%–49.4% CI
Away FT21.8%16.2%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals17.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.8%
Away46.1%