Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:05
16.5814.4%
X5.2718.0%
21.4067.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Etienne
WLWDLDLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
LDDLLLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
2.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
7.00N=10
6.80
Against
2.30
11.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Etienne attack
1.50goals per matchMonaco conceded1.60Matchup
Monaco attack
1.10goals per matchSt Etienne conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
6.80
Corners against
2.30
11.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.60
Match total
27.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.80
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%18.8%+4.4 pp
Draw18.0%12.5%-5.5 pp
Away67.6%68.8%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.00–2.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.8%
1-112.5%
0-212.5%
1-56.3%
3-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.81–6.88
Average total10.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.568.8%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.543.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away60.0%