Ligue 1 · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:05
16.5814.4%
X5.2718.0%
21.4067.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
WLWDLDLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monaco
LDDLLLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
2.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
7.00N=10
6.80
Against
2.30
11.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.50goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.10goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
6.80
Corners against
2.30
11.30
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.60
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.80
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%18.8%+4.4 pp
Draw18.0%12.5%-5.5 pp
Away67.6%68.8%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.002.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.8%
1-112.5%
0-212.5%
1-56.3%
3-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.816.88
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.568.8%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.543.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%